Simulation of Consumption Processes of a Target Product in Engineering Networks

  • Baxramov Umarkhodja, Kaxarov Bakhodir, Axror Obidzhonov

Abstract

The adequacy of the model of the consumption process of the target product is determined by the statistical significance of the difference between the residual errors of the forecast of the process of consumption of the target product from the process of “white noise”, all the necessary calculations are performed on electronic computers, and the models are adapted to the current conditions of the consumption process of the target product. At the same time, the use of models for problems of simulation in research works seems to be rather complicated and cumbersome. The article shows that at long intervals of simulation modeling of engineering networks, without the possibility of correcting the parameters of the model, depending on the actual course of the consumption process of the target product, such models can lead to the accumulation of systematic errors and distortion of correlations between the processes of consumption of the target product in various network nodes. The article shows that at long intervals of simulation modeling of engineering networks, without the possibility of correcting the model parameters depending on the real course of the consumption of the target product, such models can lead to the accumulation of systematic errors and distortion of correlations between the processes of consumption of the target product in various nodes of the network. For the purposes of simulation modeling of sufficiently large engineering networks, including dozens of nodes, models are more applicable, which can be represented as a composition of parametrically specified functions. The paper shows how the parameters of such models can be determined using limited statistical material on the process of consumption of the target product at objects of various types Below in the article are the ways of implementing the model algorithm and obtaining results that meet the requirements of simulation.

Published
2022-03-14
Section
Articles