Empirical Analysis of COVID 19 in African Region – Has the Region been successful in containing the spread? - A comparative Study

Authors

  • Leo John Baptist , Sampath Kumar Venkatachary , Annamalai Alagappan ,Jagdish Prasad , Ravi Samikannu , Anitha Immaculate

Abstract

Coronavirus illness 2019 (COVID 19) is perceived as one of the most deadly pandemics as of
late given the spread of virus around the globe. Africa, by and large, had not been impacted by the crisis
severely and the spread has been a low profile, unlike many European and American nations in the initial
stages. In the region, Egypt was the first nation to report the infection early March. As the spread gained
momentum, African region had witnessed significant surge in the number of cases in many countries.
Countries like South Africa which has one of the best health infastrucutre in the Africa saw an increase
of 300% and so did many other countries. Given the risk level and the order of the infection as a pandemic,
an endeavour is made to break down the information using GRETL and SPSS by applying OLS estimation
and Arima models to anticipate its outcome. This paper also elucidates and compares the trend in the
spread and the containment of the disease in the region. So far, Africa has also managed to contain the
spread with effective control measures as guided by the World Health Organisation (WHO). The
measurable outcomes demonstrate a definite pattern in diminishing spread and death rate while ensuring
recuperation rates.

Published

2020-03-25

Issue

Section

Articles